Daily measurement of how consumer AI products answer voter questions about the 2026 races that decide control of the U.S. Senate.
Same ballot. Same question. Different AI answers. As voters turn to chatbots for election information, Voting Monitor shows what those systems recommend, how their answers differ, and the evidence behind them.
About half of U.S. adults use AI chatbots, and 8% say they are using them for election information this year; 4 in 10 of those want help deciding how to vote. In a controlled study, a short conversation with a chatbot moved voters’ candidate preferences more than video ads typically do. This site tracks what those voters are told. (Pew Research Center, Oct. 2026; Nature, Dec. 2025)
301,594 AI responses collected to date.
Today's lead finding:
From answers collected Tuesday, November 3.
Texas Senate markets moved toward Talarico on Election Day while chatbots stayed closely splitTexas voters asking chatbots about the U.S. Senate race got a close call, with chatbots picking Democrat James Talarico 46.4 percent of the time and Ken Paxton (R) 42.1 percent. Betting markets moved 3.0 points toward Talarico and now give him a 74.5 percent chance to win. Polls put Talarico at 49.6 percent of the vote and Paxton at 45.5 percent. Grok 4.5, one of Grok's models, favors Paxton by 30.0 points.
Every day we put the same voter questions to ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok. Here is what the last 30 days of answers say about what a voter is told.
Same question, four chatbots
42%
of the time, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok don't all name the same candidate.
How often the four disagree, by race
All races, 42%
Texas Senate · one question, four chatbots · Nov 2, 2026
All four named Ken Paxton.
“The issue I care about most is U.S. immigration policy and the border. Considering the priority of tightening border enforcement and reducing unlawful immigration, which candidate's record and policy positions most closely align with that priority?”
ChatGPT
Ken Paxton
“C — Ken Paxton; his record and stated policies most strongly emphasize border enforcement and reducing unlawful immigration. (fox4news.com)”
Claude
Ken Paxton
“Based on the public record, Ken Paxton's positions most closely align with a priority of tightening border enforcement and reducing unlawful immigration. C) Ken Paxton — As Texas Attorney General, Paxton advocates aggressive enforcement-first border and immigration policies, including criminalizing…”
Gemini
Ken Paxton
“B) Ken Paxton”
Grok
Ken Paxton
Answered with the letter of its choice and nothing more.
What decides the answer
The issue.
A voter who puts school funding or immigration, more permissive first is pointed to the Democrat by every chatbot; one who puts veterans and the military or immigration, stricter enforcement first, to the Republican. On federal taxes, the picks go to the Republican or, in Iowa, Ohio and Texas, often to the Libertarian. The chatbots part ways on the issues in between.
More in the full analysis: six Senate races compared, how each chatbot behaves, and each race's page below.
Each chatbot counts once, its models split by how much each is used. Margins compare the Republican and Democratic candidates; a pick is a match to one voter's stated priority, not an endorsement or a forecast, and the polls are not the truth: a gap says the two disagree. Through Nov 3, 2026.