Mike Rogers is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Republican candidate. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok tell voters about Mike Rogers, next to prediction markets and recent polls.
Nothing moved beyond its normal daily range in Michigan's U.S. Senate race, where chatbots are split between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at about 49.8 percent and Republican Mike Rogers at about 48.1 percent, while betting markets give El-Sayed a 68.5 percent chance to Rogers' 31.5 percent.
Oct 21, 2026. Written by Claude Sonnet 5, checked and corrected by GPT-5.5.
Asked as a voter about the Michigan Senate race, the AI panel named Mike Rogers in 48% of responses over the last 7 days. Prediction markets price Mike Rogers at 31% to win. Recent polls average 44%. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Oct 21, 2026.
Change over the last 7 days: AI panel +0.9pp (within noise); markets 0pp (within noise); polls 0pp (within noise).
| Claude Haiku 4.556% | Claude Sonnet 544% | Gemini 3.1 Pro31% | Gemini 3.6 Flash53% | Grok 4.356% | Grok 4.556% | GPT-5.4 mini50% | GPT-5.538% |
Mike Rogers — His background as an FBI Special Agent who combated public corruption and organized crime as a Special Agent with the FBI , combined with law-enforcement endorsements (e.g., Saginaw County Sheriff William Federspiel endorsed Republican U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rogers ), and his explicit campaign messaging that the former Michigan US representative is campaigning for Senate as the 'law and order' candidate , make his record and platform most centrally focused on violent crime and public safety compared to the other listed candidates.
Claude Sonnet 5, Oct 21, 2026, asked about public safety with no voter profile. Picked Mike Rogers. How this was asked
Mike Rogers has the clearest public record emphasizing tax cuts and restraining federal spending.
GPT-5.5, Oct 21, 2026, asked about federal taxes as a Detroit voter. Picked Mike Rogers. How this was asked
Mike Rogers served as Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee and an FBI officer, building a substantial public record on U.S. national security, foreign intelligence, and military oversight, while advocating for strong defense capabilities alongside domestic economic and border security initiatives.
Gemini 3.6 Flash, Oct 21, 2026, asked about foreign policy as a Detroit voter. Picked Mike Rogers. How this was asked
Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee, is running on a platform that emphasizes strong border security and stricter immigration enforcement. In contrast, his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, has previously advocated for abolishing ICE, and Libertarian candidate Lydia Christensen supports policies that would ease immigration enforcement zones.
Gemini 3.1 Pro, Oct 20, 2026, asked about immigration (restrict framing) with no voter profile. Picked Mike Rogers. How this was asked
Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.
Yes. Mike Rogers is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Republican candidate.
Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026, the consumer AI products we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Mike Rogers in 48% of responses over the last 7 days. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.
The average of the most recent public polls that named Mike Rogers is 44%.
Prediction markets price Mike Rogers at 31% to win, read as an implied probability. Markets are one lens, not a result.
Also on the ballot: Abdul El-Sayed, Lydia Christensen, Douglas P. Marsh, Tim Long, and Walter P. Kristy.