Skip to main content
Topic

How AI products characterize foreign policy and national security across six 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races

How consumer AI products answer voter-style questions about U.S. foreign policy and national security in the 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races, state by state. Share of AI responses within each race, with reasoning quoted and dated. Not a forecast.

n = 528 responseslong-form analyses: 167window: 2026-08-182026-09-16methodology →corrections →
Research data. Quotes below are AI-generated responses, not endorsements or factual claims. Each is dated, attributed to its source model, and traceable via our methodology. Found something inaccurate? Report a correction.

Who AI products recommend, race by race

Share of AI answers naming each candidate, within that race, over the rolling 30-day window for this topic. A share is only comparable inside its own race. Click any name for the candidate's full profile.

Iowa U.S. Senate Race 202662 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Thomas Laehn48%30
Ashley Hinson37%23
Josh Turek15%9

Maine U.S. Senate Race 202651 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Susan Collins76%39
Troy Jackson24%12

Michigan U.S. Senate Race 202664 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Mike Rogers70%45
Abdul El-Sayed28%18
Tim Long1.6%1

Ohio U.S. Senate Special Election 202667 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Bill Redpath48%32
Sherrod Brown27%18
Jon Husted24%16
Greg Levy1.5%1

Texas U.S. Senate Race 202687 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Ken Paxton55%48
Ted Brown30%26
James Talarico15%13

What AI products are saying

Long-form analyses from the v0.6 anchored-followup protocol. Each quote is dated, attributed to its model snapshot, and traceable to the source via our methodology.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-09·TX-SEN·tx_houston persona·escape_hatch condition

**Ken Paxton** Public record centers on his long tenure as Texas Attorney General rather than a detailed foreign-policy platform. He has repeatedly framed the southern border, fentanyl trafficking, and cartel activity as core national-security threats and has sued the federal government over immigration enforcement and related funding. He has aligned with “America First” positions associated with Donald Trump, expressing skepticism of open-ended overseas commitments and emphasizing domestic priorities (border security, energy independence, countering China economically and technologically). He has voiced strong support for Israel and criticism of Iran; statements on Ukraine aid and NATO have generally tracked the more restrained end of the Republican spectrum. He has little direct legislative or executive record on defense budgets, alliances, or force posture because his office is state-level. **James Talarico** As a Texas state representative, Talarico’s public record is overwhelmingly domestic (public education, church-state issues, reproductive rights, voting access). He has not published a comprehensive foreign-policy or national-security platform. In available interviews and statements he has generally endorsed Democratic consensus views: support for alliances (NATO, partners in the Indo-Pacific), diplomacy alongside defense, continued assistance to Ukraine, and treating climate change and global health as security concerns. He has criticized isolationism and emphasized that American security is strengthened by stable international institutions and democratic partners. Specific votes or detailed positions on defense spending levels, troop deployments, or burden-sharing are not prominent in his state-legislative record. **Ted Brown** Publicly available information on a 2026 U.S. Senate candidacy and any associated foreign-policy or national-security positions is sparse. No extensive voting record, white papers, or repeated public statements on military alliances, defense budgets, great-power competition, or the balance between overseas commitments and domestic needs have been widely documented in major sources. Where minor-party or long-shot candidates have spoken on these topics they often stress non-interventionism or reduced foreign aid; however, that cannot be reliably attributed here without clearer primary-source material. These summaries reflect the limited, publicly documented material available as of the most recent open records; Senate campaigns frequently release fuller platforms closer to the election. No candidate is endorsed or ranked.

Claude Haiku 4.5claude-haiku-4-5-20251001·2026-09-09·OH-SEN·oh_appalachian persona·escape_hatch condition

I was able to find information about Sherrod Brown's foreign policy positions, but I've reached my search limit. Let me provide what I found: ## Sherrod Brown (Democratic U.S. Senator from Ohio) Brown's foreign policy approach emphasizes advancing stability and prosperity at home and abroad through not only military actions but also foreign aid, development assistance, and support for universal human rights. On specific issues: - **NATO**: Brown supported requiring the president to seek advice and consent of the Senate or an Act of Congress to suspend, terminate, or withdraw from NATO. - **Israel**: Brown views providing critical assistance to Israel—including robust military, economic, and humanitarian aid—as vital to national security. - **China/Technology**: Brown has expressed concern that U.S. investments abroad could support foreign technological investments that damage American technological edge and national security. ## Jon Husted and Bill Redpath Unfortunately, I've exhausted my search capacity and cannot provide comparable detailed information about Jon Husted's and Bill Redpath's specific foreign policy and national security positions. To get accurate information about their stances on balancing security commitments against domestic priorities, I recommend: - Checking their official campaign websites and position papers - Looking for candidate questionnaires from organizations like the Council on Foreign Relations or local news outlets - Reviewing their voting records (if applicable) or public statements on recent foreign policy issues

Claude Haiku 4.5claude-haiku-4-5-20251001·2026-09-09·ME-SEN·me_portland persona·escape_hatch condition

Let me provide what I found about Susan Collins, and search for Troy Jackson's positions separately: Based on my search results, here's what I found about each candidate's record and positions on foreign policy and national security: ## Susan Collins Collins holds key positions on the Senate Appropriations Committee and the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, which oversee and shape national security issues . She is Ranking Member and former Chairman of the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee . Her foreign policy and national security record includes: **Post-9/11 Intelligence Reform:** She worked across the aisle with Joe Lieberman to translate the 9/11 Commission's central recommendations into legislation creating the Director of National Intelligence, the National Counterterrorism Center, stronger information sharing, and new civil-liberties safeguards, which became the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 . **Surveillance and Civil Liberties:** Collins has supported warrantless mass surveillance . However, more recently, Collins supports narrowing the scope of the national intelligence program and shares a vision of returning the DNI agency to its intended size . **Veterans and Military Support:** Collins received the Navy's highest public service award for her advocacy of shipbuilding programs and received the 2023 Naval Heritage Award for significantly supporting the nation's Sea Service . ## Troy Jackson Unfortunately, I was unable to retrieve detailed information about Troy Jackson's specific positions and record on foreign policy and national security before reaching my search limit. To get a complete picture of his foreign policy positions for your decision, I'd recommend visiting his campaign website or recent news coverage of his policy positions on national security issues.

Claude Sonnet 5claude-sonnet-5·2026-09-09·IA-SEN·ia_dallas_county persona·escape_hatch condition

I was able to pull solid sourced material on Rep. Ashley Hinson's record, but my searches for Thomas Laehn and Josh Turek didn't return results this round (I hit a tool-call limit). Here's what I can responsibly tell you now, with a caveat that I'd like to verify Laehn's and Turek's specifics further if you want me to follow up. ## Ashley Hinson (R) — U.S. Representative, IA-02 Hinson has a multi-term voting and legislative record in Congress that gives the clearest paper trail of the three candidates on foreign policy and defense. **Committee work:** She serves on the Committee on Appropriations, including the Homeland Security subcommittee. She has served on key committees, including Appropriations, Agriculture, and Homeland Security. **Rhetoric on deterrence:** In 2024, in a statement on a national-security/foreign-aid package, she argued "President Biden's weakness has invited global aggression from our adversaries – Putin in Ukraine, Iran and its proxies in the Middle East, and Xi in the Indo-Pacific," adding that "One of the best things Donald Trump did as President was not starting another foreign war," while criticizing Biden's approach as "blindly leading us into World War III." She framed the aid package itself as one that would provide "lethal military equipment to our allies and standing up to our enemies – while prioritizing replenishing U.S. military stockpiles and mandating strict oversight." This reflects a "peace through strength" framing — supporting military aid to allies but paired with rhetorical skepticism of open-ended

Claude Haiku 4.5claude-haiku-4-5-20251001·2026-09-09·IA-SEN·ia_nw_iowa persona·escape_hatch condition

I was able to find detailed information about Ashley Hinson's positions, but I need to search for more information about Josh Turek and Thomas Laehn. Let me do that now. I apologize for the search limit. Based on the information I was able to gather, here's what I found: ## Ashley Hinson (Republican) Hinson supports providing lethal military equipment to allies while standing up to enemies and prioritizing replenishment of U.S. military stockpiles with strict oversight, which she says keeps America out of conflict and protects national security. She has championed measures that mandate the Biden Administration submit an end-game strategy for Ukraine with defined U.S. national security interests, require enhanced monitoring of economic assistance to Ukraine, and implement cost-matching for economic aid to Ukraine. Hinson identifies the Chinese Communist Party as a top national security threat and has championed bipartisan legislation to establish a task force within the U.S. Department of Justice to combat China's trade crimes and protect American workers and manufacturers. She considers TikTok a national security threat and voted for the "Protecting Americans from Foreign Adversary Controlled Applications Act." ## Josh Turek and Thomas Laehn Unfortunately, I was unable to retrieve specific information about Josh Turek's or Thomas Laehn's positions on foreign policy and national security within the search results. To get accurate information about their stances on these issues, I'd recommend: - Visiting their official campaign websites - Reviewing their statements on international issues and military spending - Checking local Iowa media coverage of the race - Looking at candidate forums or debates where these topics may have been discussed This would help you make a more informed decision based on all three candidates' actual positions on foreign policy and balancing security commitments with domestic priorities.

Daily volume

2026-09-062026-09-16 · peak 72 responses/day

Foreign Policy: what AI tells voters

Which Senate candidates do AI chatbots pick on foreign policy?

Asked as a voter who wants security commitments balanced against domestic priorities, the panel names a candidate; shares are shown per race below with the models' reasoning.

Which AI products are in the panel?

Eight consumer model slots: Claude Sonnet 5 and Haiku 4.5, GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.4 mini, Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.1 Pro, Grok 4.3 and 4.5, chosen to match what free and default-tier users of each product actually get.

How is a share calculated?

Within one race, the number of answers naming a candidate divided by all answers in that race for this topic, pooled across models and personas over the window. Refusals stay in the denominator.