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How AI products characterize crime and public safety across six 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races

How consumer AI products answer voter-style questions about crime and public safety in the 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races, state by state. Share of AI responses within each race, with reasoning quoted and dated. Not a forecast.

n = 1,384 responseslong-form analyses: 436window: 2026-09-07 → 2026-10-06methodology →corrections →
Research data. Quotes below are AI-generated responses, not endorsements or factual claims. Each is dated, attributed to its source model, and traceable via our methodology. Found something inaccurate? Report a correction.

Who AI products recommend, race by race

Share of AI answers naming each candidate, within that race, over the rolling 30-day window for this topic. A share is only comparable inside its own race. Click any name for the candidate's full profile.

Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026176 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Ashley Hinson89%157
Thomas Laehn10%17
Josh Turek1.1%2

Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026137 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Susan Collins99%136
Troy Jackson0.7%1

Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026165 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Mike Rogers99%164
Abdul El-Sayed0.6%1

Ohio U.S. Senate Special Election 2026193 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Jon Husted94%181
Bill Redpath2.6%5
Greg Levy2.1%4
Sherrod Brown1.6%3

Texas U.S. Senate Race 2026229 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Ken Paxton97%222
James Talarico2.2%5
Ted Brown0.9%2

What AI products are saying

Long-form analyses from the v0.6 anchored-followup protocol. Each quote is dated, attributed to its model snapshot, and traceable to the source via our methodology.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·TX-SEN·tx_baseline persona·escape_hatch condition

**Ken Paxton** As Texas Attorney General (2015–present), Paxton has emphasized border security, prosecution of fentanyl trafficking, and opposition to progressive local criminal-justice policies. Public actions and statements include multi-state lawsuits and AG opinions targeting sanctuary-city practices and certain district-attorney charging decisions he describes as soft on violent crime; support for enhanced penalties tied to crimes involving illegal firearms or cartel activity; and advocacy for state-level measures that increase cooperation between local law enforcement and federal immigration authorities. He has repeatedly framed illegal immigration and cartel-related violence as central drivers of public-safety threats in Texas. (Paxton has also faced his own high-profile legal proceedings, including a 2023 state impeachment of which he was acquitted by the Texas Senate and earlier federal securities-fraud charges that were dismissed; those matters are part of his public record but are distinct from his official crime-policy portfolio.) **Ted Brown** Publicly available information on a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate named Ted Brown and any detailed record or platform specifically on violent crime, policing, sentencing, or community safety is sparse in major election trackers and news archives as of the latest comprehensive reporting. Where positions have been noted in lower-profile or Libertarian-leaning contexts, they tend to stress criminal-justice restraint, opposition to victimless-crime enforcement, and skepticism of expansive police or prosecutorial powers, but these have not been elaborated into a full, documented legislative or executive record comparable to the other two candidates. **James Talarico** As a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives, Talarico’s public record and statements focus on criminal-justice reform, prevention, and root-cause approaches rather than solely on expanded enforcement or longer sentences. He has supported bills and advocacy around reducing incarceration for non-violent offenses, increasing mental-health and addiction treatment access as crime-prevention tools, police-accountability measures, and investments in education and community programs that he argues lower recidivism and violence over time. He has criticized certain “tough-on-crime” expansions when he views them as ineffective or disproportionately applied, while still affirming the need for public safety and support for law-enforcement officers performing core duties. Specific floor votes and committee work center more on education, healthcare access, and procedural reforms than on new mandatory-minimum or border-enforcement statutes. These summaries reflect publicly reported actions, votes, lawsuits, and statements; candidates’ full platforms can evolve and should be checked against primary sources (campaign sites, bill records, AG opinions, legislative journals) before voting.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·MI-SEN·mi_upper_peninsula persona·escape_hatch condition

**Douglas P. Marsh** Publicly available information on Marsh’s record or detailed policy positions specifically on violent crime, policing, sentencing, or public-safety legislation is extremely limited. He does not appear to have held prior elected office with a voting record on these issues, and no extensive campaign platform documents, legislative history, or widely reported statements focused on crime reduction were readily identifiable in major public sources as of the latest available records. **Walter P. Kristy** Similarly, Kristy has scant publicly documented record on crime and public-safety policy. There is no prominent prior elected-office voting history, authored bills, or detailed position papers on violent crime, law-enforcement funding, or related topics that surface in standard election or news archives. Any statements appear minimal or not widely covered. **Mike Rogers** Rogers, a former U.S. Representative (MI-8) and House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence chair, has a congressional record emphasizing national and domestic security. He has publicly supported increased resources for law enforcement, opposed certain criminal-justice measures he viewed as weakening penalties for violent offenses, and highlighted border security and intelligence tools as linked to public safety. In past campaigns and statements he has stressed backing for police and tougher approaches to violent crime; specific 2026 Senate-campaign crime platform details should be checked against his current site or FEC filings for the latest wording. **Tim Long** Long likewise has very little readily accessible public record or detailed platform language on crime and public safety in major sources. No substantial prior legislative votes, law-enforcement endorsements, or comprehensive policy papers on reducing violent crime were prominently documented. **Lydia Christensen** Christensen’s publicly available positions and record on this issue are also minimal. Standard election trackers and news archives do not show an extensive history of elected service, bill sponsorship, or detailed crime/public-safety platforms. **Abdul El-Sayed** El-Sayed, a physician and former Detroit health director who previously sought statewide office, has framed public safety in part through public-health and root-cause lenses (economic opportunity, community investment, violence-prevention programs) while also addressing policing and accountability. He has spoken about reducing violence via prevention and social determinants alongside justice-system reforms; he does not have a long congressional voting record on crime bills. Voters should consult his current campaign materials for precise 2026 Senate positions on policing levels, sentencing, and violent-crime metrics. **Overall note** For the lesser-known candidates (Marsh, Kristy, Long, Christensen), reliable, detailed public records on crime and public-safety positions are sparse or absent from major nonpartisan trackers, legislative databases, and news archives. Rogers and El-Sayed have more extensive prior public profiles, though both should be verified against up-to-date 2026 campaign platforms, questionnaires, and voting/statement histories. This summary is descriptive only and drawn from available public information; it is not a voting recommendation. Cross-check primary sources (candidate sites, debate transcripts, official records) before deciding.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-30·OH-SEN·oh_baseline persona·escape_hatch condition

**Jon Husted** Public record (as Ohio Lt. Governor, Secretary of State, and appointed U.S. Senator): Emphasizes “tough-on-crime” approaches, increased support and funding for law enforcement, opposition to broad police “defund” efforts, and backing for measures that expand penalties for violent and repeat offenders. Has highlighted community safety, drug-related crime (including fentanyl trafficking), and partnership with local police. Supports Second Amendment rights framed as relevant to self-defense and public safety. Record includes state-level initiatives on opioid enforcement and criminal sentencing aligned with Republican priorities in Ohio. **Bill Redpath** Public record (Libertarian-aligned candidate and long-time party activist): Focuses on criminal-justice reform from a limited-government perspective—reducing incarceration for non-violent/victimless offenses, ending or sharply curtailing the war on drugs, protecting due process, and opposing expansions of police/surveillance powers that he views as infringing civil liberties. Positions typically prioritize individual rights and reducing the scope of criminal law over traditional “tough-on-crime” expansions of policing or sentencing. Limited Ohio-specific elected-office record on municipal or state public-safety implementation. **Greg Levy** Public record appears sparse in major statewide coverage for a 2026 U.S. Senate bid. Available statements and filings (where documented) have not established a detailed, consistent legislative or executive record on violent-crime reduction, policing, sentencing, or related public-safety policy comparable to major-party candidates. Voters would need to consult his campaign materials, any local-office history, or direct questionnaires for specifics; mainstream reporting has not highlighted a distinctive crime/public-safety platform. **Sherrod Brown** Public record (as long-time U.S. Senator and prior Ohio official): Supports funding for local law enforcement and community policing while also backing criminal-justice reforms aimed at sentencing disparities, reentry programs, and addressing root causes (poverty, addiction, mental health). Has voted for measures increasing resources against fentanyl and violent crime, supported the Violence Against Women Act reauthorizations, and criticized both under-policing and overly punitive approaches. Emphasizes economic opportunity and addiction treatment as complementary to enforcement; record includes opposition to some broad “defund” rhetoric alongside support for accountability and reform provisions in federal bills. These summaries draw from publicly reported votes, statements, and official roles. Positions can evolve; consult current campaign sites, debate transcripts, and nonpartisan trackers (e.g., Congress.gov, state records, fact-checkers) for the latest details. I provide no ranking or voting recommendation.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-10-01·IA-SEN·ia_des_moines persona·escape_hatch condition

**Ashley Hinson** U.S. Representative (R) from Iowa. Public record and statements emphasize backing law enforcement, opposing “defund the police” efforts, and linking border security/fentanyl trafficking to violent crime and community safety. She has supported federal measures increasing resources for police, tougher penalties for certain violent and drug-related offenses, and victims’ rights priorities. Her congressional voting record and campaign materials consistently frame public safety through increased enforcement capacity and deterrence. **Josh Turek** Iowa State Representative (D). Public record centers on constituent services, disability advocacy, and bipartisan local work rather than a long federal crime portfolio. Available statements and legislative activity have addressed community safety through support for first responders, targeted local funding, and criminal-justice approaches that include both accountability and prevention/reentry elements. Detailed U.S. Senate-level crime platforms were still emerging in early cycle coverage; his state-level record does not show a high volume of high-profile violent-crime legislation. **Thomas Laehn** Lower public profile in statewide coverage to date. Available material (candidate filings, limited statements, and third-party trackers) has highlighted constitutionalist/limited-government themes. On crime and public safety this has typically translated to emphasis on rule of law, Second Amendment rights as linked to self-defense, and skepticism of expansive federal criminal-justice programs. Specific legislative votes or detailed violent-crime reduction plans were sparse in major public records at the time of common early-2026 references. These summaries draw from congressional voting records, state legislative activity, official statements, and contemporaneous news/public trackers. Positions can evolve; check candidates’ official sites, FEC filings, and recent Iowa reporting for the latest. I am not recommending any candidate.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-10-01·OH-SEN·oh_appalachian persona·escape_hatch condition

**Jon Husted** Public record (as Ohio Lt. Governor and prior Secretary of State/state legislator): Emphasizes support for law enforcement funding, opposition to “defund the police” approaches, and backing for measures that increase penalties for violent and repeat offenders. Has aligned with state-level Republican priorities on public safety, including support for police recruitment/retention initiatives and critiquing progressive prosecutors or bail policies viewed as lenient. Favors protecting Second Amendment rights while supporting targeted enforcement against illegal gun use in crimes. Record centers on executive and legislative actions reinforcing traditional policing and deterrence rather than broad decarceration. **Greg Levy** Limited prominent statewide public record on crime and public safety specific to a U.S. Senate bid. Available statements and materials (where documented) have not established a detailed, high-profile legislative or executive track record comparable to major-party figures on violent crime reduction, policing, sentencing, or related federal policy. Voters would need to consult primary campaign filings, local appearances, or issue questionnaires for any stated positions, as comprehensive federal-level voting or sponsorship history is not a defining feature of his public profile. **Bill Redpath** Public record (Libertarian activist and prior candidate): Focuses on criminal-justice reform from a limited-government perspective—reducing incarceration for non-violent offenses (especially drug-related), ending or sharply curtailing the war on drugs, protecting due process, and opposing expansions of police/surveillance power that infringe civil liberties. Supports holding government accountable for overreach while generally favoring personal responsibility and second chances over mandatory minimums or broad “tough-on-crime” expansions. Positions prioritize liberty and reduced state coercion more than expanded policing budgets or enhanced penalties for violent crime specifically. **Sherrod Brown** Public record (U.S. Senator): Has supported federal funding for community policing and some law-enforcement resources, while also backing criminal-justice reform measures (e.g., elements of the First Step Act era and efforts addressing sentencing disparities). Emphasizes root-cause approaches including economic opportunity, addiction treatment, and gun-violence prevention via expanded background checks and related controls. Voting history includes support for police funding packages alongside progressive reform priorities; has criticized certain “tough-on-crime” expansions and highlighted rehabilitation and equity. Record mixes targeted public-safety investments with reform-oriented legislation rather than purely punitive frameworks. These summaries draw from publicly reported votes, statements, sponsorships, and executive actions. Positions can evolve; consult official campaign sites, congressional/state voting records, and nonpartisan trackers for the latest primary sources. No candidate is endorsed or ranked here.

Daily volume

2026-09-07 → 2026-10-06 · peak 72 responses/day

Public Safety: what AI tells voters

Which Senate candidates do AI chatbots pick on crime and public safety?

Asked as a voter prioritising reducing violent crime and keeping communities safe, the panel names a candidate; the share of answers naming each one is shown per race below.

Why might a chatbot refuse to answer?

Some models decline to recommend candidates. Refusal is measured as its own outcome and reported per model on the audit page; it is a fact about the model, never counted as support for anyone.

Is a high share an endorsement?

No. It is the fraction of AI answers that named the candidate when forced to choose. The site reports what the chatbots say so that voters and campaigns can see it; it does not endorse.