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How AI products characterize immigration and the border across six 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races

How consumer AI products answer voter-style questions about U.S. immigration policy and the border in the 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races, state by state. Two framings are asked, one prioritising enforcement and one prioritising legal pathways, and both are rolled up here. Not a forecast.

n = 2,808 responseslong-form analyses: 450window: 2026-09-07 → 2026-10-06methodology →corrections →
Research data. Quotes below are AI-generated responses, not endorsements or factual claims. Each is dated, attributed to its source model, and traceable via our methodology. Found something inaccurate? Report a correction.

Who AI products recommend, race by race

Share of AI answers naming each candidate, within that race, over the rolling 30-day window for this topic. A share is only comparable inside its own race. Click any name for the candidate's full profile.

Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026487 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Ashley Hinson54%265
Josh Turek44%216
Thomas Laehn1.2%6

Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026361 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Susan Collins55%200
Troy Jackson45%161

Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026443 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Mike Rogers53%234
Abdul El-Sayed47%208
Douglas P. Marsh0.2%1

Ohio U.S. Senate Special Election 2026457 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Jon Husted51%232
Sherrod Brown45%205
Bill Redpath3.1%14
Greg Levy1.3%6

Texas U.S. Senate Race 2026563 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
James Talarico49%275
Ken Paxton48%273
Ted Brown2.7%15

What AI products are saying

Long-form analyses from the v0.6 anchored-followup protocol. Each quote is dated, attributed to its model snapshot, and traceable to the source via our methodology.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·OH-SEN·oh_baseline persona·escape_hatch condition

**Sherrod Brown (Democrat, incumbent U.S. Senator):** Public record shows long-standing support for comprehensive immigration reform that includes expanded legal pathways, a route to citizenship for many undocumented immigrants (including Dreamers/DACA recipients), and family-based immigration/reunification priorities. He has backed bipartisan bills and Democratic packages emphasizing protections against deportation for mixed-status families, opposed certain enforcement-only and interior removal expansions, criticized family separations and travel bans, and highlighted labor/economic contributions of immigrants while pairing reform with some workplace and border measures. Voting record and statements consistently align with enlarging legal channels and family protections over pure restriction. **Jon Husted (Republican, Ohio Lt. Governor / Senate candidate):** Public positions and record emphasize border security, ending illegal entries, and interior enforcement (E-Verify, opposition to sanctuary policies) as prerequisites before broader legal-immigration expansion. He has supported legal immigration and skilled/worker pathways in principle, framed as orderly and merit-oriented, but has not prioritized large-scale amnesty, rapid pathway-to-citizenship expansions, or family-reunification growth on the scale of Democratic proposals. Statements focus on rule-of-law enforcement, reducing illegal immigration’s impacts on Ohio communities/resources, and controlled legal inflows rather than protective measures that limit removals of long-settled undocumented families. **Bill Redpath (Libertarian-aligned candidate):** Consistent with Libertarian platforms he has long associated with, public positions favor substantially freer movement of people, expanded (or minimally restricted) legal immigration, reduced barriers to entry/work, and opposition to most interior enforcement and deportation regimes that separate families. He has advocated treating immigration primarily as an economic/liberty issue—welcoming workers and families with far fewer numerical or categorical limits—while criticizing both major parties’ enforcement-heavy approaches. Record is more ideological/advocacy-oriented than legislative, stressing voluntary association and open pathways over targeted “protections” legislation. **Greg Levy:** Limited prominent federal legislative or statewide executive record on immigration specifically tied to the 2026 Ohio Senate race in widely available public sources. Where positions appear in candidate materials or local coverage, they have generally tracked toward enforcement, legal-only frameworks, and skepticism of large-scale pathway expansions or broad family-protection amnesties; details remain sparse compared with the higher-profile candidates above. Voters should consult primary filings, debate transcripts, or the candidate’s own site for the most current statements. These summaries draw from voting histories, public statements, platform documents, and reporting available as of late public records; positions can evolve, and primary sources (candidate sites, Congress.gov, state records, debate archives) are the best direct check. No recommendation is offered.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·ME-SEN·me_baseline persona·escape_hatch condition

**Susan Collins (Republican, incumbent U.S. Senator)** Public record shows a long-standing moderate Republican approach emphasizing border security funding and enforcement tools alongside support for legal immigration and targeted reforms. She has backed measures increasing Customs and Border Protection and ICE resources, physical barriers in high-traffic areas, and technology (sensors, drones). She voted for the 2013 “Gang of Eight” comprehensive bill (border triggers + pathway elements) and has cosponsored or supported bipartisan packages pairing enforcement with asylum/process reforms and E-Verify expansion. She opposed pure “open borders” framing, criticized catch-and-release practices, and supported remaining Title 42-era expulsions while also backing limited humanitarian parole and protections for certain long-term residents (e.g., some DACA-related votes). She has criticized both parties for failing to pass durable enforcement + legal-flow legislation and has highlighted Maine-specific angles such as northern-border staffing and fentanyl interdiction. Recent statements stress “secure the border first” while rejecting mass-deportation rhetoric that she views as unworkable; she has voted against some standalone progressive decriminalization efforts and against some hardline Republican bills she judged underfunded or overly broad. **Troy Jackson (Democrat, former Maine Senate President)** Public record from his state legislative tenure and 2026 Senate campaign materials centers on humane treatment, legal pathways, root-cause aid, and opposition to what he terms overly punitive or militarized enforcement. As Senate President he backed state-level resolutions and budgets supporting refugee resettlement, immigrant worker protections (especially seasonal/agricultural labor important to Maine), and limiting local cooperation with certain federal detainers. Campaign and interview statements criticize “wall-only” or mass-deportation approaches as costly and ineffective, favor expanding legal immigration visas, asylum capacity, and pathway-to-citizenship measures for long-term undocumented residents, and call for more foreign aid and anti-trafficking focus rather than primary reliance on physical barriers or expedited removals. He has aligned with national Democratic priorities on protecting DACA/TPS populations, opposing family-separation policies, and conditioning some enforcement funding on oversight and due-process standards. On pure border metrics he has not emphasized “tightening” or reducing unlawful crossings as the top priority; instead he frames enforcement within broader equity, labor, and humanitarian goals and has criticized Republican-led bills he views as restricting asylum access. These summaries draw from congressional voting records, floor statements, campaign platforms, and contemporaneous news reporting available in public sources. Positions can shift with new legislation; check recent candidate sites, Debate transcripts, and roll-call votes for the latest details. I provide no voting recommendation.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·MI-SEN·mi_detroit persona·escape_hatch condition

**Mike Rogers** Public record (as a former U.S. Representative and current Senate candidate): Consistently supports stricter border enforcement, physical barriers, increased Border Patrol/ICE resources, ending catch-and-release, and opposing broad amnesty or expansive pathways that he views as incentivizing unlawful entries. Has aligned with Republican platforms emphasizing interior enforcement, E-Verify mandates, and reducing illegal crossings as a national-security and rule-of-law priority. Criticizes sanctuary policies and high levels of unlawful immigration. **Abdul El-Sayed** Public record (as a progressive Democrat, former Detroit health director, and prior statewide candidate): Emphasizes humane treatment, protecting DACA recipients, pathways to legal status/citizenship for long-term undocumented residents, and addressing root causes (violence, poverty, climate) over purely punitive enforcement. Supports comprehensive reform that includes legal immigration expansion and opposes policies he describes as family-separating or overly militarized. Focuses more on immigrant communities’ contributions and due-process protections than on tightening enforcement metrics. **Tim Long** Limited prominent public record specifically on U.S. immigration/border policy as a 2026 Senate contender. Available statements and filings do not show a detailed, widely documented platform or legislative history centered on enforcement levels, asylum rules, or deportation priorities. No major congressional voting record or high-profile advocacy campaign on this issue is readily established in current sources. **Lydia Christensen** Limited prominent public record on immigration and border policy. No extensive voting history, detailed policy papers, or widely reported positions on enforcement, wall/barrier construction, asylum processing, or legalization pathways appear in major public databases or candidate materials tied to the 2026 cycle. **Douglas P. Marsh** Limited prominent public record on this issue. Sparse available statements or platforms do not provide a clear, detailed stance on border security measures, unlawful-entry reduction, interior enforcement, or reform trade-offs. **Walter P. Kristy** Limited prominent public record on U.S. immigration policy and the border. No substantial legislative record, detailed policy white papers, or high-visibility advocacy on enforcement tightening versus legalization/reform is documented in readily available sources for the 2026 race. For the lesser-known candidates (Long, Christensen, Marsh, Kristy), public information is thin; voters should check official campaign sites, FEC filings, recent local reporting, or candidate questionnaires for any updated statements. Positions can evolve; primary sources remain the most reliable. This summary is descriptive only and is not a voting recommendation.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-09-29·TX-SEN·tx_rgv persona·escape_hatch condition

**Ken Paxton** (Texas Attorney General; Republican): Public record centers on enforcement and state-federal conflict. As AG he has filed or joined dozens of lawsuits against Biden-era immigration policies (parole programs, catch-and-release practices, DACA expansions, and ending Title 42), supported Texas’s Operation Lone Star and SB 4 (state-level arrest/removal authority), backed border-barrier construction and National Guard deployments, and repeatedly argued that federal non-enforcement creates public-safety and fiscal burdens. He has not advanced or endorsed large-scale new legal-immigration pathways, amnesty, or broad family-reunification expansions; his emphasis is deterrence, interior enforcement, and limiting unlawful entries. Statements and filings consistently frame “open-border” policies as the core problem. **James Talarico** (Texas State Representative, District 50; Democrat): Public record and floor speeches emphasize humane treatment, family unity, and federal reform that includes expanded legal channels. He has opposed multiple Texas bills increasing state immigration enforcement or penalties for undocumented presence, criticized family separations and mass-deportation rhetoric, and voiced support for protecting DACA recipients, mixed-status families, and pathways to legal status or citizenship as part of comprehensive reform. He frames immigration as both a moral and economic issue and has called for more orderly legal immigration rather than solely enforcement-first approaches. Specific federal bill cosponsorship is limited by his state-level role; positions appear in legislative debates, op-eds, and campaign remarks. **Ted Brown**: No substantial, widely reported public record on U.S. immigration policy was located in major candidate databases, legislative histories, campaign platforms, or news archives tied to a 2026 Texas U.S. Senate bid. He does not appear as a declared major-party contender with detailed issue pages, voting history, or repeated public statements on legal pathways, family protections, border enforcement, or related federal legislation. Absent primary-source material (platform language, questionnaires, or recorded positions), a reliable description cannot be provided. These summaries draw only from each individual’s observable public actions, lawsuits, legislative votes/speeches, and statements; they are not exhaustive and do not rank or recommend anyone. Voters should consult official campaign sites, FEC filings, and unedited primary sources for the latest details.

GPT-5.4 minigpt-5.4-mini-2026-03-17·2026-09-29·MI-SEN·mi_baseline persona·escape_hatch condition

Here’s a candidate-by-candidate summary of what I found on U.S. immigration policy and the border. I’m focusing on their public positions and any record I could verify from recent campaign materials and coverage. - **Douglas P. Marsh**: Marsh appears to take a more structural, less enforcement-first approach. In a League of Women Voters questionnaire, he said U.S. immigration policy should address the causes of migration by ending “imperialist actions that destabilize other countries and cause masses of people to flee their homes.” That suggests emphasis on root causes rather than stricter border enforcement. ([smarter.vote](https://smarter.vote/races/mi-senate-2026/compare/?candidates=abdul-el-sayed%2Cmike-rogers%2Cdouglas-p-marsh%2Clydia-christensen%2Ctimothy-long&utm_source=openai)) - **Abdul El-Sayed**: El-Sayed is clearly on the more immigration-restriction-averse end of the spectrum. In campaign and interview coverage, he said he intends to “lead the effort to abolish ICE,” arguing the agency is not about keeping the southern border secure and safe. Other coverage says he supports border security and comprehensive reform, but his public posture is strongly critical of ICE and current enforcement tactics. ([wdet.org](https://wdet.org/2026/01/22/abdul-el-sayed-runs-for-michigans-open-u-s-senate-seat/?utm_source=openai)) - **Walter P. Kristy**: I couldn’t find reliable, source-backed public statements or a documented record on immigration policy and the border for Kristy in the materials I reviewed. ([smarter.vote](https://smarter.vote/races/mi-senate-2026/compare/?candidates=abdul-el-sayed%2Cmike-rogers%2Cdouglas-p-marsh%2Clydia-christensen%2Ctimothy-long&utm_source=openai)) - **Lydia Christensen**: Christensen is the most explicit civil-liberties/libertarian-style voice in the set. In VOTE411, she said due process applies to everyone on American soil, and she opposes detaining people without it; she also said she would repeal the “100 mile constitution free border zone” so inland searches would require probable cause and a warrant. That is not a border-tightening platform; it is more focused on limiting enforcement powers. ([onyourballot.vote411.org](https://onyourballot.vote411.org/candidate-detail.do?id=72998089&utm_source=openai)) - **Mike Rogers**: Rogers is the clearest match for a tighter-border, tougher-enforcement approach. Recent coverage and issue summaries describe him as blaming “open borders” for crime, supporting a border wall and increased immigration enforcement, and aligning with Donald Trump’s border-security posture. ([en.wikipedia.org](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Rogers_%28Michigan_politician%29?utm_source=openai)) - **Tim Long**: I couldn’t find reliable, source-backed public statements or a documented record on immigration policy and the border for Long in the materials I reviewed. ([smarter.vote](https://smarter.vote/races/mi-senate-2026/compare/?candidates=abdul-el-sayed%2Cmike-rogers%2Cdouglas-p-marsh%2Clydia-christensen%2Ctimothy-long&utm_source=openai)) **Bottom line:** based on the public record I could verify, **Mike Rogers** is the strongest fit for a priority of tightening border enforcement and reducing unlawful immigration. ([en.wikipedia.org](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Rogers_%28Michigan_politician%29?utm_source=openai)) If you want, I can also turn this into a simple comparison table with columns for “border enforcement,” “ICE,” and “pathway/immigration reform.”

Daily volume

2026-09-07 → 2026-10-06 · peak 144 responses/day

Immigration: what AI tells voters

Which Senate candidates do AI chatbots pick on immigration?

Two versions of the question are asked daily: one as a voter who wants tighter border enforcement, one as a voter who wants expanded legal pathways. Shares below combine both; the per-framing split is on each race page.

Why ask two framings?

Because the answer depends on the question. A model that picks the same candidate under both framings is telling voters something different from one that flips. Asking both makes that visible.

Are these the candidates' actual positions?

No. They are what the chatbots say the positions are. The models' reasoning is quoted verbatim and dated so it can be checked against the record.