Josh Turek is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Democrat candidate. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok tell voters about Josh Turek, next to prediction markets and recent polls.
Nothing moved beyond its normal daily range in Iowa's U.S. Senate race, with chatbots showing no clear favorite between Democrat Josh Turek at about 43.7 percent and Republican Ashley Hinson at about 43 percent, while betting markets give Hinson a 57.5 percent chance to win and September polls put Turek at 46.5 percent and Hinson at 43.9 percent.
Oct 21, 2026. Written by Claude Sonnet 5, checked and corrected by GPT-5.5.
Asked as a voter about the Iowa Senate race, the AI panel named Josh Turek in 44% of responses over the last 7 days. Prediction markets price Josh Turek at 43% to win. Recent polls average 46%. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Oct 21, 2026.
Change over the last 7 days: AI panel -0.1pp (within noise); markets +1.0pp (within noise); polls 0pp (within noise).
| Claude Haiku 4.534% | Claude Sonnet 550% | Gemini 3.1 Pro50% | Gemini 3.6 Flash41% | Grok 4.338% | Grok 4.538% | GPT-5.4 mini41% | GPT-5.550% |
Josh Turek: he explicitly supports increasing public-school funding and repealing vouchers, while Hinson emphasizes school choice. (turek4iowa.com)
GPT-5.5, Oct 21, 2026, asked about k-12 education with no voter profile. Picked Josh Turek. How this was asked
Josh Turek; his platform most directly centers affordability, including health care, prescription drugs, housing, Medicaid/ACA, and household costs.
GPT-5.5, Oct 21, 2026, asked about cost of living as a Northwest Iowa voter. Picked Josh Turek. How this was asked
This priority aligns with Democratic positions; Turek is the declared Democratic candidate.
Grok 4.3, Oct 20, 2026, asked about immigration (permissive framing) as a Dallas County voter. Picked Josh Turek. How this was asked
because Josh Turek's platform specifically focuses on protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act, defending Medicare, and capping prescription drug prices to ensure healthcare remains accessible and affordable for Iowans.
Gemini 3.1 Pro, Oct 19, 2026, asked about healthcare as a Des Moines voter. Picked Josh Turek. How this was asked
Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.
Yes. Josh Turek is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Democrat candidate.
Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026, the consumer AI products we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Josh Turek in 44% of responses over the last 7 days. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.
The average of the most recent public polls that named Josh Turek is 46%.
Prediction markets price Josh Turek at 43% to win, read as an implied probability. Markets are one lens, not a result.
Also on the ballot: Ashley Hinson and Thomas Laehn.