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How AI products characterize the cost of living and household affordability across six 2026 U.S. Senate toss-up races

How consumer AI products answer voter-style questions about the cost of living and household affordability in the six 2026 U.S. Senate races Cook rates Toss Up: Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, Texas and Alaska. Each state is shown separately; shares are within a race, never across races.

n = 1,493 responseslong-form analyses: 508window: 2026-10-03 → 2026-11-01methodology →corrections →
Research data. Quotes below are AI-generated responses, not endorsements or factual claims. Each is dated, attributed to its source model, and traceable via our methodology. Found something inaccurate? Report a correction.

Who AI products recommend, race by race

Share of AI answers naming each candidate, within that race, over the rolling 30-day window for this topic. A share is only comparable inside its own race. Click any name for the candidate's full profile.

Iowa U.S. Senate Race 2026205 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Josh Turek56%114
Ashley Hinson43%88
Thomas Laehn1.5%3

Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026124 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Troy Jackson77%96
Susan Collins23%28

Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026194 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Abdul El-Sayed76%147
Mike Rogers23%44
Lydia Christensen1.0%2
Douglas P. Marsh0.5%1

Ohio U.S. Senate Special Election 2026191 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
Sherrod Brown88%168
Jon Husted10%20
Greg Levy1.0%2
Bill Redpath0.5%1

Texas U.S. Senate Race 2026230 responses

CandidateShare of AI answersn
James Talarico80%183
Ken Paxton20%46
Ted Brown0.4%1

What AI products are saying

Long-form analyses from the v0.6 anchored-followup protocol. Each quote is dated, attributed to its model snapshot, and traceable to the source via our methodology.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-10-25·TX-SEN·tx_rgv persona·escape_hatch condition

**Ted Brown** Public record on cost-of-living/affordability issues is limited and not extensively documented in major statewide coverage for a 2026 U.S. Senate bid. Available statements and prior activity (where identifiable) have generally emphasized reducing regulatory burdens, opposing tax increases, and favoring market-oriented approaches to housing and energy costs. Specific legislative votes, sponsored bills, or detailed platform planks directly targeting household expenses (rent, groceries, utilities, healthcare premiums) are sparse in widely reported sources. **James Talarico** As a Texas state representative, Talarico’s public record centers on education funding, healthcare access, and progressive economic measures. He has supported expanded public-school investment and policies framed as lowering long-term family costs through education and health coverage. He has backed measures associated with higher minimum-wage discussions, affordable-housing initiatives, and climate/energy policies that supporters say stabilize costs over time and critics say can raise near-term energy and compliance expenses. Concrete statewide votes or bills solely focused on immediate household grocery, fuel, or rent relief are more limited; his emphasis has been broader social-spending and equity frames rather than pure deregulation or tax-cut agendas. **Ken Paxton** As Texas Attorney General, Paxton’s record includes high-profile litigation against federal regulations, energy-sector restrictions, and certain consumer-financial or healthcare mandates, which he and supporters describe as protecting Texans from cost-increasing rules (energy prices, business compliance, insurance). He has aligned with low-tax, limited-regulation Republican positions and border/security actions framed as reducing fiscal burdens on households. Critics note his office’s priorities have focused more on election, immigration, and cultural issues than on direct affordability legislation (housing supply, grocery costs, wage policy). No extensive personal legislative record on cost-of-living bills exists because the AG role is enforcement-oriented rather than bill-sponsorship. These summaries draw from publicly reported positions, litigation, and legislative activity; 2026 campaign platforms may still evolve. No candidate is endorsed or ranked here.

Claude Haiku 4.5claude-haiku-4-5-20251001·2026-10-25·ME-SEN·me_aroostook persona·escape_hatch condition

Based on the available information, here's what each candidate emphasizes on cost of living and household affordability: ## Susan Collins Collins says she has been working to lower energy costs, decrease prescription drug costs by putting a $35 monthly cap on insulin, and speed generic drug approval, and has worked to make housing more affordable. Collins says she is working to lower energy costs and prescription drug prices and helped pass legislation capping insulin at $35 a month for Medicare recipients. However, critics argue her record is limited. Collins voted against an amendment to support construction of 7 million new homes and expand affordable housing opportunities. Additionally, despite steering massive federal funding to Maine communities, Jackson argues Collins has not lowered costs despite holding the appropriations gavel. ## Troy Jackson Jackson argues that affordability issues result from Collins not being willing to stand up to Donald Trump, voting with him 96% of the time. Jackson claims that a major bill advanced by Collins "cost $3 billion the state of Maine" and is cutting SNAP benefits and heating benefits. Collins, in turn, has attacked Jackson's state-level record. Collins jabbed Jackson's record on property taxes and electricity bills during her first attack ads, claiming he oversaw rising electricity prices and property tax increases as state Senate president. Both candidates claim the other's record has worsened affordability, but detailed policy proposals from Jackson on federal affordability solutions were not found in the search results.

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-10-25·ME-SEN·me_aroostook persona·escape_hatch condition

**Susan Collins (incumbent U.S. Senator, Republican)** Public record emphasizes bipartisan measures aimed at energy costs, healthcare premiums, and tax relief that she links to household budgets in Maine. - Supported and helped advance the bipartisan infrastructure law and energy-permitting provisions she has described as lowering long-term fuel and electricity costs. - Backed extensions of certain middle-income tax provisions and targeted relief (e.g., child tax credit expansions in prior packages, heating-oil assistance via LIHEAP funding increases). - Voted for the Inflation Reduction Act’s Medicare drug-price negotiation and insulin-cap elements while opposing the law overall; has cited those drug provisions as affordability wins. - Consistent record of supporting farm-bill nutrition and rural development titles, plus opposition to broad tax increases she argues would raise costs for small businesses and working families. - Criticized by opponents for votes that blocked or slowed some Democratic climate/spending packages and for supporting oil/gas leasing measures framed by critics as insufficient on renewable-cost transition. **Troy Jackson (Maine State Senate President, Democrat; declared/potential 2026 challenger)** Public record centers on state-level progressive economic measures he ties directly to working-class and rural household costs, drawing from his Aroostook logging/labor background. - Led or strongly backed Maine legislation raising the state minimum wage, expanding paid leave, and strengthening collective-bargaining rules—positions he links to wage growth outpacing living costs. - Supported state expansions of Medicaid/MaineCare, prescription-drug affordability boards, and heating assistance; has advocated federal-level versions of similar cost controls. - Pushed investments in rural broadband, child-care subsidies, and workforce training funded in part by higher taxes on high earners/corporations, arguing these reduce family expenses. - Opposed certain corporate tax breaks and supported stronger utility regulation to limit rate hikes; has criticized federal policies he says favor large energy/pharma interests over ratepayers. - Record includes labor-aligned stances on trade and procurement that he frames as protecting Maine jobs and local prices; opponents note these can raise short-term business costs passed to consumers. Both have addressed energy/heating costs (critical in northern Maine), healthcare premiums, and wages, but differ in preferred tools (targeted federal bipartisan fixes and tax restraint vs. state-driven wage mandates, expanded public programs, and progressive taxation). Positions evolve; check recent statements, vote histories (Congress.gov, Maine Legislature), and nonpartisan trackers for the latest. This is descriptive only—no recommendation.

Claude Sonnet 5claude-sonnet-5·2026-10-25·TX-SEN·tx_rgv persona·escape_hatch condition

Here's what the record and public statements show for each candidate on affordability: ## Ken Paxton (Republican) Paxton has made affordability tax-deduction plan the centerpiece of his campaign, calling it **"Protecting the Texas Promise."** Its main elements: - A $25,000 tax deduction for all out-of-pocket medical expenses and health premiums, and an additional $25,000 tax deduction for each individual dependent; a $50,000 deduction for first-time homebuyers and a subsequent $50,000 down payment deduction if you move to a new primary residence; a $5,000 tax deduction for spending related to developing a healthy lifestyle, including workout and gym expenses, nutrition plans, GLP-1 medications and sports activities for dependents. - Making the Trump Accounts (tax-advantaged investment accounts) permanent and doubling the Child Tax Credit to $4,400. He has framed this as cutting taxes rather than new spending: "As far as tax cuts, I've never believed that tax cuts necessarily mean you have less in the treasury because often, if people are able to keep more of their money, they spend it and it runs through the economy." He has also campaigned on this message in the Rio Grande Valley specifically, pitching the same medical and housing deductions in Brownsville and Edinburg, pitching affordability policies including medical and home payment deductions . Analysts note Paxton faces some political tension here: Paxton, one of Trump's strongest supporters, has to tread lightly when discussing the economy, and has to thread the needle between talking about affordability as a key issue while not angering the Trump administration over the economy. ## James Talarico (Democrat) Talarico's "New American Dream" plan takes a different approach, focused on wages, health costs, and corporate accountability rather than tax deductions: - Talarico is calling for higher wages, expanded tax credits, lower health care costs and action against corporations he says drive up prices. - His proposals include reinstating enhanced premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act and expanding the low-income housing tax credit. - On wages, he has said:

Grok 4.5grok-4.5·2026-10-25·MI-SEN·mi_macomb persona·escape_hatch condition

**Mike Rogers** Former U.S. Representative (R-MI). Public record emphasizes energy production (domestic oil/gas and permitting reform), opposition to certain environmental regulations he links to higher utility and fuel prices, support for extending or making permanent aspects of the 2017 tax cuts, and deregulation aimed at business costs. He has framed inflation and household expenses as driven by federal spending and energy policy; specific recent 2026 Senate platform details on housing, childcare, or grocery costs are limited in widely available statements. **Douglas P. Marsh** Limited publicly documented record as a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate on cost-of-living or affordability issues. No extensive voting history, detailed economic platform, or widely reported positions on taxes, housing, energy prices, wages, or household expenses appear in major public sources at this time. **Abdul El-Sayed** Physician, former Detroit health director, and progressive Democrat. Public positions stress lowering healthcare costs (including drug prices and insurance expansions), higher minimum wages, investments in housing affordability and public transit, and policies targeting corporate concentration he argues raises consumer prices. He has criticized aspects of fossil-fuel policy and tax structures favoring high earners; earlier campaigns highlighted economic justice and reducing out-of-pocket family expenses. Detailed 2026 Senate-specific affordability planks continue to develop in public materials. **Walter P. Kristy** Limited publicly documented record as a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate on cost-of-living or affordability issues. No extensive platform, voting record, or widely reported positions on household expenses, taxes, energy, housing, or wages are readily available in major public sources. **Tim Long** Limited publicly documented record as a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate on cost-of-living or affordability issues. No detailed, widely reported positions or legislative record focused on reducing household expenses appear in major public sources at this time. **Lydia Christensen** Limited publicly documented record as a 2026 U.S. Senate candidate on cost-of-living or affordability issues. No extensive public platform or record detailing positions on taxes, housing costs, energy prices, wages, or related household affordability topics is prominent in available sources. Public information is substantially fuller for Rogers and El-Sayed than for the others listed; minor-candidate filings and statements can change and are worth checking directly via candidate sites, FEC reports, and nonpartisan trackers for the latest. This is a summary of available public-record themes only—not an endorsement or ranking.

Daily volume

2026-10-03 → 2026-11-01 · peak 184 responses/day

Cost of Living: what AI tells voters#

Which Senate candidates do AI chatbots pick on cost of living?

Every day, Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini and Grok are asked, as a voter in each state, which Senate candidate best matches a priority of reducing household expenses. The share of answers naming each candidate is shown per race below, with the models' own reasoning quoted and dated. It is a measurement of what the chatbots say, not a forecast.

Why is each state shown separately?

A share is the fraction of answers within one race. Ohio has four candidates on the ballot and Maine has two, so a number from one race says nothing about a candidate in another. Pooling them would rank a Texas candidate against a Michigan one on a scale neither is measured on.

Is this the same question Alaska candidates are asked?

No. Alaska's cost-of-living topic names energy affordability and is written for Alaska. This page is the state-neutral version asked identically in the other five states so their races can be compared with each other. Alaska's page is linked in the sidebar.