Susan Collins is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Republican candidate, and is the incumbent. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok tell voters about Susan Collins, next to prediction markets and recent polls.
Today's read on the Maine Senate race, naming Susan Collins
Chatbots picked Democrat Troy Jackson 49.9 percent of the time and incumbent Susan Collins (R) 49.8 percent, a virtual tie 28 days before the general election. Betting markets are clearer but not lopsided, giving Jackson a 56.5 percent chance to win. Recent polls point the other way by a hair, putting Collins at 47.5 percent of the vote and Jackson at 46.5 percent. Nothing moved much since Monday, so the useful picture for Maine voters is a steady, very close race rather than a new break toward either candidate.
Oct 6, 2026. Written by GPT-5.5; numbers checked by Claude Sonnet 5 (verified).
What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok say about Susan Collins
Asked as a voter about the Maine Senate race, the AI panel named Susan Collins in 50% of responses over the last 7 days. Prediction markets price Susan Collins at 43% to win. Recent polls average 48%. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Oct 6, 2026.
Change over the last 7 days: AI panel -3.0pp (within noise); markets +4.0pp; polls 0pp (within noise).
Which models pick Susan Collins
Claude Haiku 4.542%
Claude Sonnet 550%
Gemini 3.1 Pro42%
Gemini 3.6 Flash54%
Grok 4.363%
Grok 4.546%
GPT-5.4 mini63%
GPT-5.542%
Why the chatbots picked Susan Collins, in their own words
Collins has the clearer public record on this issue, emphasizing law-enforcement funding, violent-crime prosecution, fentanyl enforcement, and penalties for violent offenses.
GPT-5.5, Oct 6, 2026, asked about public safety as a baseline voter. Picked Susan Collins.
Collins has a record supporting border security funding and enforcement measures as a Republican.
Grok 4.3, Oct 6, 2026, asked about immigration (restrict framing) as a baseline voter. Picked Susan Collins.
Susan Collins — her public record and campaign materials emphasize bipartisan appropriations work, fiscal stewardship, and “responsible use of taxpayer dollars,” which aligns more closely with reducing the federal tax burden and controlling federal spending.
GPT-5.4 mini, Oct 5, 2026, asked about federal taxes as a Aroostook County voter. Picked Susan Collins.
Susan Collins — her long Senate record and committee seniority have centered on defense and national security, while also emphasizing pragmatic budgeting and bipartisan tradeoffs.
GPT-5.4 mini, Oct 5, 2026, asked about foreign policy as a Aroostook County voter. Picked Susan Collins.
Explore the data
Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.
Susan Collins: frequently asked questions
Is Susan Collins on the ballot in the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026?
Yes. Susan Collins is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Republican candidate.
What do AI chatbots say about Susan Collins?
Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026, the consumer AI products we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Susan Collins in 50% of responses over the last 7 days. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.
What do the polls say about Susan Collins?
The average of the most recent public polls that named Susan Collins is 48%.
What are Susan Collins's odds in the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026?
Prediction markets price Susan Collins at 43% to win, read as an implied probability. Markets are one lens, not a result.
Who else is running in the Maine U.S. Senate Race 2026?