Abdul El-Sayed is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Democrat candidate. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok tell voters about Abdul El-Sayed, next to prediction markets and recent polls.
Nothing moved beyond its normal daily range in Michigan's U.S. Senate race, where chatbots are split between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at about 49.8 percent and Republican Mike Rogers at about 48.1 percent, while betting markets give El-Sayed a 68.5 percent chance to Rogers' 31.5 percent.
Oct 22, 2026. From answers collected Wednesday, October 21. Written by Claude Sonnet 5, checked and corrected by GPT-5.5.
Asked as a voter about the Michigan Senate race, the AI panel named Abdul El-Sayed in 51% of responses over the last 7 days. Prediction markets price Abdul El-Sayed at 70% to win. Recent polls average 47%. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Oct 22, 2026.
Change over the last 7 days: AI panel +0.9pp (within noise); markets +1.0pp (within noise); polls 0pp (within noise).
| Claude Haiku 4.541% | Claude Sonnet 550% | Gemini 3.1 Pro59% | Gemini 3.6 Flash50% | Grok 4.344% | Grok 4.544% | GPT-5.4 mini50% | GPT-5.563% |
Abdul El-Sayed has publicly advocated increasing public-school funding and resources as a core progressive priority.
Grok 4.5, Oct 22, 2026, asked about k-12 education as a Macomb County voter. Picked Abdul El-Sayed. How this was asked
Abdul El-Sayed's platform most directly addresses this priority by emphasizing a broad affordability agenda that includes lowering healthcare costs (such as through Medicare for All to eliminate premiums and copays), canceling medical debt, and supporting tax relief for lower- and middle-income households to increase economic stability.
Gemini 3.1 Pro, Oct 22, 2026, asked about cost of living with no voter profile. Picked Abdul El-Sayed. How this was asked
Abdul El-Sayed: strongest record here, supporting dignity, due process, legal counsel, ending summary deportations, and replacing ICE with a more humane system. (getvotebook.com)
GPT-5.5, Oct 21, 2026, asked about immigration (permissive framing) as an Upper Peninsula voter. Picked Abdul El-Sayed. How this was asked
because his platform explicitly argues for redirecting taxpayer dollars away from foreign military funding in order to invest in domestic priorities like healthcare and education.
Gemini 3.1 Pro, Oct 21, 2026, asked about foreign policy as a Detroit voter. Picked Abdul El-Sayed. How this was asked
Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.
Yes. Abdul El-Sayed is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Democrat candidate.
Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026, the consumer AI products we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Abdul El-Sayed in 51% of responses over the last 7 days. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.
The average of the most recent public polls that named Abdul El-Sayed is 47%.
Prediction markets price Abdul El-Sayed at 70% to win, read as an implied probability. Markets are one lens, not a result.
Also on the ballot: Mike Rogers, Lydia Christensen, Douglas P. Marsh, Tim Long, and Walter P. Kristy.