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← Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026

Walter P. Kristy

NLNatural Law

Walter P. Kristy is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Natural Law candidate. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok told voters about Walter P. Kristy before the election, next to prediction markets and recent polls.

How the vote came out

The AP projects Abdul El-Sayed the winner, 52.5% to 45.5%.

Before the vote, the polls had El-Sayed ahead; the betting markets gave El-Sayed a 76% chance; and the chatbots were split (El-Sayed 49%, Rogers 48% of their answers, inside ±10 points).

← Rogers aheadEl-Sayed ahead →
VoteEl-Sayed +7.0
PollsEl-Sayed +6.7
ChatbotsEl-Sayed +0.9
Points between the two leading candidates in the vote. The bold bar is the result, the ring the polls and the dot the chatbots; the closer a mark sits to the bar, the closer that measure came.
Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026: the vote beside each measure before the polls closed
CandidateVoteChatbotsPollsWin %Comp.
Abdul El-Sayed52.5%49%52%76%59%
Mike Rogers45.5%48%45%24%39%
Lydia Christensen1.0%1.1%n/an/a1.1%
Tim Longn/a1.4%n/an/a1.4%
Douglas P. Marshn/a0.0%n/an/a0.0%
Walter P. Kristyn/a0.0%n/an/a0.0%

Just before this race's own polls closed, with other states' returns in, the betting markets had Abdul El-Sayed at 84% and Mike Rogers at 16%. The table's market figure is the price before the first polls in the country closed.

4,796,991 votes counted, about 98% of the expected vote. Source: The Associated Press count, as shown on NBC News, Nov 6, 11:53 a.m. Alaska time. Unofficial. Chance to win is the betting markets' price, not a vote share. Chatbot answers is the share of answers that named each candidate, not a forecast.

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What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok say about Walter P. Kristy#

Asked as a voter about the Michigan Senate race, the AI panel named Walter P. Kristy in 0.0% of responses over the final 7 days before the vote. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Nov 3, 2026.

Which models pick Walter P. Kristy

Claude Haiku 4.50.0%Claude Sonnet 50.0%Gemini 3.1 Pro0.0%Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite0.0%Gemini 3.6 Flash0.0%Grok 4.30.0%Grok 4.50.0%GPT-5.4 mini0.0%GPT-5.50.0%GPT-5.6 Luna0.0%GPT-6 Sol0.0%

No model gave a reasoned answer naming Walter P. Kristy in the final 7 days before the vote. That is a measurement, not an omission.

Every answer about Walter P. Kristy, word for word

Explore the data

Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.

Walter P. Kristy: frequently asked questions#

Is Walter P. Kristy on the ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026?

Yes. Walter P. Kristy is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026 as the Natural Law candidate.

What do AI chatbots say about Walter P. Kristy?

Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026, the AI chatbots we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Walter P. Kristy in 0.0% of responses over the final 7 days before the vote. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.

What do the polls say about Walter P. Kristy?

None of the recent public polls we track named Walter P. Kristy. A candidate a poll did not ask about has no poll number, which is not the same as 0 percent.

Who else is running in the Michigan U.S. Senate Race 2026?

Also on the ballot: Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers, Lydia Christensen, Douglas P. Marsh, and Tim Long.

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