Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026, with no party listed on the ballot line. August 18, 2026 primary: 2.5%, advanced. Official results. Below: what ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok tell voters about Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., next to prediction markets and recent polls.
Latest read on the Alaska Senate race, naming Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.#
No finding was published for the Alaska Senate race, naming Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. on Oct 20, 2026. This is the most recent one, from Sep 7, 2026, and it may name candidates or lenses that have changed since.
Alaska voters decided this race on August 18, twenty days ago. Democrat Mary Peltola won the top four primary with 49.5 percent of the vote, ahead of incumbent Republican Sullivan at 41.4 percent, and both advance to the November general. Chatbots today still pick Sullivan more often, rating him at 50.4 percent versus 43.1 percent for Peltola, the reverse of what voters decided. That gap has held steady for weeks now, a repeated inversion rather than a new one. The count is certified, with 401 of 403 precincts reporting, so this is not a case of an unsettled margin. Independent Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Democrat David B. Leslie also advanced but remain in the low single digits with the chatbots.
Sep 7, 2026. Written by Claude Sonnet 5, checked and corrected by GPT-5.5.
What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok say about Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.#
Asked as a voter about the Alaska Senate race, the AI panel named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in 0.8% of responses over the last 7 days. Prediction markets price Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. at 0.5% to win. Recent polls average 3.6%. Share of AI responses, not a forecast. As of Oct 20, 2026.
Change over the last 7 days: AI panel +0.5pp (within noise); markets 0pp (within noise); polls 0pp (within noise).
Which models pick Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
Claude Haiku 4.56%
Claude Sonnet 50.0%
Gemini 3.1 Pro0.0%
Gemini 3.6 Flash0.0%
Grok 4.30.0%
Grok 4.50.0%
GPT-5.4 mini1.5%
GPT-5.53.0%
Why the chatbots picked Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., in their own words#
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. opposes the Iran war as ill-conceived, making him the closest fit on restraint.
GPT-5.5, Oct 20, 2026, asked about foreign (dove framing) as an Anchorage voter. Picked Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.. How this was asked
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. cites bipartisan immigration reform with legal pathways to citizenship.
GPT-5.5, Oct 14, 2026, asked about immigration (permissive framing) as a Fairbanks voter. Picked Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.. How this was asked
because his campaign platform explicitly calls for a strictly non-interventionist foreign policy, ending U.S. military bases abroad, and maintaining strict neutrality without entangling military alliances.
Gemini 3.1 Pro, Oct 16, 2026, asked about foreign (dove framing) as a Fairbanks voter. Picked Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.. How this was asked
Interactive charts by model, topic and voter persona load here in the browser.
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.: frequently asked questions#
Is Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. on the ballot in the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026?
Yes. Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. is on the November 3, 2026 ballot in the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026, with no party listed on the ballot line. August 18, 2026 primary: 2.5%, advanced.
What do AI chatbots say about Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.?
Asked the questions a voter would ask about the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026, the consumer AI products we measure (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok) named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in 0.8% of responses over the last 7 days. That is a share of AI answers, not a forecast of the vote.
What do the polls say about Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.?
The average of the most recent public polls that named Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. is 3.6%.
What are Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s odds in the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026?
Prediction markets price Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. at 0.5% to win, read as an implied probability. Markets are one lens, not a result.
Who else is running in the Alaska U.S. Senate Race 2026?
Also on the ballot: Dan Sullivan, Mary Peltola, and Gerald L. Heikes.