Daily measurement of how consumer AI products answer voter questions about the 2026 races that decide control of the U.S. Senate.
Same ballot. Same question. Different AI answers. As voters turn to chatbots for election information, Voting Monitor shows what those systems recommend, how their answers differ, and the evidence behind them.
About 1 in 7 U.S. voters used AI to get election information in 2024, and that share keeps climbing. This site tracks what those voters are actually told. (UChicago Harris / AP-NORC, 2024)
279,315 AI responses collected to date.
Today's lead finding:
From answers collected Monday, November 2.
Maine chatbots swing toward Jackson a day before the Senate vote while markets widen their own lean his wayOne day before Maine decides its U.S. Senate race, the chatbots have shifted toward Democrat Troy Jackson, who now gets picked about 50.7 percent of the time versus 48.9 percent for incumbent Susan Collins. Betting markets moved further his way too, giving him a 72.5 percent chance to win against 27.5 percent for Collins. Recent polls still show the race essentially even, with Jackson at 48.3 percent and Collins at 47.6 percent. One Grok model, Grok 4.3, bucks the panel and favors Collins by a wide margin. The chatbots and the markets now point the same direction, even though polling suggests a true toss up heading into election day.
Every day we put the same voter questions to ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok. Here is what the last 30 days of answers say about what a voter is told.
Same question, four chatbots
44%
of the time, ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok don't all name the same candidate.
How often the four disagree, by race
All races, 44%
Maine Senate · one question, four chatbots · Nov 2, 2026
All four named Troy Jackson.
“The issue I care about most is U.S. immigration policy. Considering the priority of expanding legal immigration pathways and protecting immigrant families, which candidate's record and policy positions most closely align with that priority?”
ChatGPT
Troy Jackson
“A — Troy Jackson: supports a humane immigration system, keeping families together, and replacing ICE with accountable enforcement.”
Claude
Troy Jackson
“B) Troy Jackson Based on current public record, Jackson's positions align more closely with expanding legal pathways and protecting immigrant families. Jackson said the country needs "comprehensive immigration reform, and federal law enforcement and immigration services that can be trusted — not…”
Gemini
Troy Jackson
“A) Troy Jackson”
Grok
Troy Jackson
Answered with the letter of its choice and nothing more.
What decides the answer
The issue.
A voter who puts school funding or immigration, more permissive first is pointed to the Democrat by every chatbot; one who puts immigration, stricter enforcement or veterans and the military first, to the Republican. On federal taxes, the picks go to the Republican or, in Iowa, Ohio and Texas, often to the Libertarian. The chatbots part ways on the issues in between.
More in the full analysis: six Senate races compared, how each chatbot behaves, and each race's page below.
Each chatbot counts once, its models split by how much each is used. Margins compare the Republican and Democratic candidates; a pick is a recommendation for one voter's priority, not an endorsement or a forecast, and the polls are not the truth: a gap says the two disagree. Through Nov 2, 2026.