Daily measurement of how consumer AI products answer voter questions about the 2026 races that decide control of the U.S. Senate.
About 1 in 7 U.S. voters used AI to get election information in 2024, and that share keeps climbing. This site tracks what those voters are actually told. (UChicago Harris / AP-NORC, 2024)
274,931 AI responses collected to date.
Today's lead finding:
From answers collected Saturday, October 31.
Alaska's governor race leans toward Kreiss-Tomkins three days before the general electionChatbots asked about Alaska's governor race pick Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins about 49 percent of the time, and betting markets give him a far stronger 87.5 percent chance of winning. Polls put him at 48 percent of the vote. All three measures agree he leads. Republican Bernadette Wilson trails in the chatbot picks at 14.3 percent but polls put her second at 28.3 percent of the vote, well ahead of Dave Bronson and Treg Taylor in both lenses. Kreiss-Tomkins led the August 18 primary with 22.5 percent, advancing along with Wilson and Bronson. With the general election three days away, the chatbots, markets and polls are reading this race the same way.
Every day we put the same voter questions to ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok. Here is what the last 30 days of answers say about what a voter is told.
On identical questions, at least one of the four named a different candidate 42% of the time. Here is one question, asked of all four on the same day.
Alaska governor · asked Nov 1, 2026 · Resource development
“I'm an Alaska voter and I haven't decided how to vote in the 2026 race for Governor of Alaska. The issue I care about most is oil and gas resource development in Alaska, including ANWR, the NPR-A, and the Willow project. Considering the priority of limiting new oil and gas development to protect Alaska's environment, which candidate's record and policy positions most closely align with that priority?”
ChatGPT
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
“B — Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. (statedrecord.com)”
Claude
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
“C) Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Compared to the three Republican candidates (Taylor, Wilson, and Bronson), who have aligned themselves closely with the oil and gas industry's growth agenda — speaking at the Alaska Oil and Gas Association's annual conference in Anchorage and generally championing…”
Gemini
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Answered with the letter of its choice and nothing more.
Grok
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Answered with the letter of its choice and nothing more.
Compared with the polls, the chatbots lean toward Republicans in the Alaska Senate race, the Iowa Senate race and the Maine Senate race and toward Democrats in the Alaska governor race and the Ohio Senate race. In 7 of 8 races with polls, their picks are more one-sided than the polls by more than two points.
Margin between the leading Republican and Democrat, in points, and who leads
Share of identical questions where at least one named a different candidate, last 30 days
All races: 42% of 1,987 questions.
A voter who puts school funding or health care first is pointed to the Democrat by every chatbot; one who puts veterans and the military or federal taxes first, to the Republican. The chatbots part ways on the issues in between.
ChatGPTClaudeGeminiGrokEvery race combined, last 30 days. The ends mean every pick went to one party's candidate.
ChatGPT
Claude
Gemini
Grok
Bill Redpath polls at 1.1% and gets 18% of the chatbots' picks. The reason is the question: a voter who puts federal taxes or foreign policy, balanced first is often pointed to Redpath.
Named most for federal taxes (82% of those answers) and foreign policy, balanced (55% of those answers).
Named most for foreign policy, balanced (50% of those answers) and federal taxes (38% of those answers).
Named most for federal taxes (49% of those answers) and foreign policy, balanced (33% of those answers).
Named most for foreign policy (22% of those answers) and health care (22% of those answers).
Each chatbot counts once, its models split by how much each is used. Margins compare the Republican and Democratic candidates; a pick is a recommendation for one voter's priority, not an endorsement or a forecast, and the polls are not the truth: a gap says the two disagree. Through Nov 1, 2026.