AI election headlines for May 31, 2026
What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok told voters about the 2026 races on May 31, 2026, set against prediction markets and recent polls. Each finding was written by one model and checked by another.
Most AI chatbots picked Peltola for Alaska's Senate race when asked to choose today. Grok 4.3 broke the other way, picking Sullivan at 67%, while prediction markets give Peltola about 60%.
Claude Opus 4.7 picked Nancy Dahlstrom for Alaska governor at 48% when asked to choose today, even though prediction markets put Dahlstrom at about 1%.
ChatGPT (GPT-5) still would not pick a candidate 35.7% of the time when asked to choose in Alaska races today. The next-highest rate was Gemini 2.5 Flash at 1.2%.
Alaska U.S. House At-Large Race 2026
Grok swept the Alaska House race for Nick Begich III today. Grok 4, Grok 4.20 and Grok 4.3 each picked him 100.0% when asked to choose.
Prediction markets give Tom Begich just a 30% chance of winning the Alaska governor race, but four of the ten chatbots picked him as their top choice when asked today.
Grok 4.3 declined to recommend in 87% of Alaska questions when given the option today, the highest refusal rate of any chatbot on the panel.