AI election headlines for May 29, 2026
What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok told voters about the 2026 races on May 29, 2026, set against prediction markets and recent polls. Each finding was written by one model and checked by another.
ChatGPT (GPT-5) declined to recommend a candidate in 89.1% of Alaska race questions today. That was the highest rate on the panel and its fifth straight day above 75.0%.
Claude Opus 4.7 flips its Alaska Senate answer when the voter says they live in Fairbanks. It picks Mary Peltola 57.0% when no hometown is named but Dan Sullivan 52.0% for Fairbanks voters.
Alaska U.S. House At-Large Race 2026
Gemini 2.5 Flash flips its Alaska House answer when the voter says they live in Fairbanks or the Mat-Su Valley. It picks Nick Begich III 47.0% when no hometown is named, but Bill Hill 67.0% for Fairbanks voters and 58.0% for Mat-Su Valley voters.
Prediction markets give Mary Peltola a 59.5% chance to win Alaska's Senate race, but the full AI panel splits about evenly, with Peltola at roughly 52-53% and Dan Sullivan at 43-45% across regions.
Grok 4 stopped picking Sullivan on the Alaska Senate race today versus yesterday, dropping from 71% to 57% in the Anchorage prompt, while Peltola rose from 36% to 43%.