AI election headlines for May 25, 2026
What ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Grok told voters about the 2026 races on May 25, 2026, set against prediction markets and recent polls. Each finding was written by one model and checked by another.
Grok 4 picks Dahlstrom for Alaska governor at 50.0% when forced to choose, while prediction markets give her 1.2%.
Gemini 2.5 Flash changes its Alaska Senate pick by region when forced to choose. It picks Sullivan for Fairbanks voters at 56.0% and Peltola for Mat-Su at 52.0%.
Grok 4 backs Sullivan at 60.0% in the Alaska Senate race when forced to choose, while markets favor Peltola at 59.5%.
Claude Sonnet 4.6 backs Peltola at 80.0% in the Alaska Senate race when forced to choose. Markets also favor her at 59.5%.
ChatGPT (GPT-5.5) declined to answer 95.3% of Alaska race questions today, and still would not pick a candidate 56.0% of the time when forced to choose.
ChatGPT (GPT-5) refused to pick a candidate 78.3% of the time even when forced to choose, the highest refusal rate of any chatbot tested.
Prediction markets show Tom Begich leading the Alaska governor race at 29.5%, but no single AI chatbot tested today picked him as its top choice in the baseline forced answer.